Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. Jose Ramirez can win an MVP, Franmil Reyes is capable of a .800-plus OPS and Myles Straw is an exciting talent. Get the most up to date picture of the 2023 MLB season standings. LAA Los Angeles Angels. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. There is going to be some competition in Texas soon enough for the AL West crown. Now in the new year, they'll have a target on their backs as several teams loaded up this offseason with the goal of avoiding a repeat champion. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. No one saw the San Francisco Giants being that good last season, they surpassed their wildest expectations. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. Newcastle United vs Manchester City. The Detroit Tigers farm system leads us to believe they are a future World Series contender, but the big leap isnt coming until 2023. MLB games today with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Most of all, the Rockies will continue to flex their muscles in Coors Field, where they were 48-33 last season. Our MLB projections will impact our projected postseason bracket. 2023 Playoff Odds, . Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. They still have Juan Soto, who continues to receive Ted Williams' comparisons, but the rest of the team is a bit unknown. I don't think they are bottom-feeder level (Orioles, Pirates, Diamondbacks), though. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. by Retrosheet. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. Projected AL East Standings: 1. But as you might expect, they don't agree on everything. Support FanGraphs. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. However, its outfield will be problematic and the starting rotation is even worse. I'm not a Phillies fan. Just when everyone thoughtthe Rockiesmight be headed toward a rebuild, they go out and make a big splash by signing Kris Bryant. MORE: The Sporting News' 2022 MLB Opening Day Power Rankings Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season from TSN's panel of baseball experts. 3. We also like the depth pieces added to the staff (Carlos Martinez, Matt Boyd) and it will prove crucial this year. Not many expected the Braves to win their fourth World Series title at the beginning of the 2021 season. After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. New York Mets - 94-68 (101-61 in 2022, 2nd in NLE) It's tough to predict a regression for the Mets, but we truly believe their 2023 campaign will be a bit less successful than their 2022 campaign. Mookie Betts felt quiet in 2021, but he's still one of baseball's best at the dish. Can the Los Angeles Angels avoid bad fortune? Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. Christian Yelich can only get better after . For now, well be focused on development for the young pitchers and the eventual debuts of Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. But what the model really likes is the rotation. The bullpen, which was already one of the best last year, improved with the signing of Kenley Jansen to join Will Smith, Tyler Matzek and AJ Minter. The model narrowly projects there to be three teams in the NL East reach the playoffs, with the Mets and Phillies earning wild cards to join the division-winning Padres. I think Randal Grichuk will post huge power numbers there, too. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Here's what experts think. Joey Gallo should improve without the shift, and Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Josh Donaldson make for three of the best right-handed power bats in the sport when healthy. The model isn't as bullish on San Diego as others due to concerns over Tatis' ability to play a full season and the depth in the lineup, but it's easy to see this being the magical year for which many have been waiting. While the signing of Carlos Correa and the trade for Sonny Gray will help, the rest of the team has a lot of question marks, particularly after Berrios was traded midseason last year and Donaldson was traded in the offseason. Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter. The Phillieswere one of several teams competing near the end of the season for a wild card spot before the Cardinals went on their wild winning streak to take away that final spot. Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. Witt Jr. could be the future face of MLB and Melendezs bat is convincing Kansas City to give the catching prospect a shot at other positions. The model likes the Dodgers to win the pennant and finish with the best record in baseball, while the Giants are the second-most likely team to win the pennant, barely edging out the Braves, who are likely to earn the second bye by virtue of winning their division with the second-best record among division winners. Having also crammed these past few weeks, USA TODAY Sports presents its 2022 record predictions, an annual exercise in prognostication attempting to make sense of what went down this offseason and how it fits into team trajectory. The problem is so often health, and that is the concern the model has for the Angels. In a women's flyweight championship bout on the main card, Valentina Shevchenko takes on Alexa Grasso Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. 1:51. Trevor Rogers nearly won Rookie of the Year, and Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez each had ERAs south of 3.20. 3 - New York Mets. The biggest question mark for Los Angeles is undoubtedly in its rotation, where Walker Buehler will be the unquestioned ace after Scherzer left. We do like the Sean Manaea addition, it solidifies one of the best rotations in baseball. Framber Valdez and Luis Garcia are two bright young arms in the rotation, while Verlander looks to return to his Cy Young-winning ways since coming back from Tommy John surgery. Read on for predictions for every game involving a Top 25 team on the schedule over the next seven days. With Sean Manaea also gone, its even easier to predict fewer wins. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. C'mon Rocks! by Handedness. PECOTA views the Bronx Bombers as heavy favorites in the AL East, with Toronto projected for roughly nine fewer wins. Notably, ZiPS and PECOTA both project the Angels to be significantly better than the Rangers, whose moves have been much splashier than the Halos in the past two offseasons. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. The bullpen and rotation are stronger than last season and the lineup will be productive. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. Heading into 2022, this division figures to be just as thrilling as the Padres continue to establish themselves as a threat in the league. If Jack Flaherty is unavailable for a majority of the season, though, that significantly changes the Cardinals outcome. At least they have one of the best MLB lineups. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon showed they can make a promising tandem fans of the franchise can build around. After missing the playoffs by one game last season, 2022 could end up as the perfect year for the Jays to represent the AL in the World Series. Tampa Bay Rays 98-64 2. Its not a huge surprise that ZiPS projects the Padres and Dodgers for the same record. CHW Chicago White Sox. Major League Leaders . The reason for the model's lack of trust in them in 2022? Minnesota traded Josh Donaldson and others to free up room to sign prized free-agent shortstop Carlos Correa. Jarred Kelenic still needs to make a lot of strides. The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. If the snake-bitten franchise gets full seasons from Anthony Rendon, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Noah Syndergaard, its a no-doubt playoff team. They will join Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell. Meanwhile, ZiPS not only projects the Cards to win a second straight NL Central title but also gives St. Louis the largest margin of victory (seven games) of any of the projected division champions. Even after losing Carlos Rodon, the rotation is still be one of the game's best with Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn and Dylan Cease at the front. As much as I love Shane McClanahan, he won't be carrying an ace workload. By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. This is an admittedly risky venture. The Tigersare in a position where it feels like they are on the verge of putting it all together at the big-league level. [ MORE: How to watch Premier League in USA] After the break for the 2022 World Cup, the Premier League . If the rookies can play up to their projections and immediately become impact talents, this could be an underrated team in 2022. Sign In. TEX Texas Rangers. MLB OFFSEASON GRADES:Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse. Putting the Houston Astros atop the AL West in our MLB predictions today was easy. The NL Central is mediocre, at best, and the Cardinals are a part of the mediocrity. But there was actually a lot that went wrong with the Padres' pitching staff last season and they were still 67-49 through Aug. 10, a pace of 94 wins, before melting down the rest of the way. Picking the White Sox to run away with the division is certainly correct, but the rest of the standings feel a bit jumbled given recent history. Were seeing the Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics head in opposite directions. MORE:Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman. Sure enough, thats exactly what they did. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Bob Melvin is the perfect skipper for the clubhouse, providing both strong in-game management and a leader who can help keep a lot of personalities in sync. I was going to be choosing between the Red Sox and Rays and the Rays' number is four higher, so here we are. With the new campaign comes the intrigue over how it will turn out. The bullpen lost Jansen, but added Craig Kimbrel to go along with Blake Treinen and Brusdar Graterol. The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. Everyone wants to know who will win the World Series, and according to the model, the answer is Dodgers are the most likely champion. This offseason, they're doing their part to make sure they don't miss the wild card this time. Put yourself out there. The two big prospects in the Trea Turner/Scherzer trade, Josiah Gray will slot into the rotation and Keibert Ruiz should become the everyday catcher. It might sound like an easy pick after the Padres went 79-83 last season and now are going to be without Fernando Tatis, Jr. for weeks or even months. Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. Matt Chapman is one of the best defensive players in the game and his bat should look better with the talent around it. The White Sox and Astros were picked to reach the top two spots in the American League more than any other team, while the top four AL East teams were the most likely in the simulations to also reach the playoffs. EX. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. Although Jos Abreu left as a free agent to sign with the Astros in the offseason, the core of the roster that won the division title two years ago is still largely intact, making Chicago an obvious rebound candidate in 2023. The Yankees, Red Sox and Rays are all strong playoff contenders, for me. 0:00. There's certainly a void in the lineup without Tatis (and once his wrist is fully recovered, do we trust his shoulder to stay put the rest of the way?) From the starting rotation to the lineup, Los Angeles holds the advantages and its farm system is better. Each game is then simulated 20,000 times with park factors included in each matchup. Key player: Luis Robert. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. 7. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. The Dodgers are currently favored to take it all. The NL Central hasn't had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. MLB Playoff Predictor (MLB Season Picker) lets you pick every game of the MLB Season via a season Schedule . ET. Back # WL Div GB # AL WL Pct GB # WL Div GB # 6-keys: media/spln/mlb/reg/free/stories, at The Blue Jays have constructed one of the most talented rosters in the AL, combining impressive young players such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Alejandro Kirk and Alek Manoah with veteran stars such as George Springer, Kevin Gausman and Matt Chapman, but the club has yet to break through as an AL powerhouse. Last year, the division placed three teams in the playoffs the most of any division in baseball and it expects to be right back in that same position next year. This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. Picks, tools and data that give you an edge in NFL survivor and knockout style pools. However, concerns at catcher and in the outfield put SF a tier below the Dodgers. Starting with the winners, there won't be many who will dispute that the White Sox should be the favorite to win the division. The Tigers also signed a pair of top free agents in Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez to provide some more established threats to the team. 103 / 103+59 OR 103 / 162 = .636 OR 63.6%. If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. Justin Verlander's return is hugefor the Astros, coming off their third World Series appearance in five years. But the top two teams in the NL are the same as last year's: the Dodgers and Giants. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. The rotation will get a boost from the return of Mike Clevinger and the trade acquisition of Manaea. New York received good news with the restrictions on unvaccinated players being lifted. Design and development by Jay Boice. You famously cannot predict baseball. The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. MLB. Robbie Ray, the AL Cy Young winner, is also gone. The rotation has the biggest question marks, but the signing of Zack Greinke to go along with Brady Singer, Brad Keller and Carlos Hernandez should be able to give the team quality innings. I'm more a fan of being right and this one was just pulling me in. And I'd win the under. LAD Los Angeles Dodgers. Are we really counting on Miles Mikolas and Dakota Hudson, then? Wed also feel comfortable projecting a Willson Contreras trade in our MLB predictions, coming in July. Hes going to be one of the best players in MLB before long and some even think hell get MVP votes in 2022. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. From back-to-back division champions to the cellar, the Twins'tumble in 2021 came as a shock after looking like a dominant team in each of the prior two years. As for Colorado, signing Kris Bryant feels like a move for ticket sales as this is still one of the worst teams in MLB. Corbin Burnes won the Cy Young with a sterling 2.43 ERA, and he was joined in the sub-3.00 ERA club by Brandon Woodruff (2.56) and Freddy Peralta (2.81). All posts tagged "MLB" Feb. 22, 2023. . The top of the MLB power rankings remains steady and it's likely to stay that way. Even more surprising, potentially letting Freddie Freeman walk in free agency. (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . April 7, 2022 2:14pm More On: mlb preview 2022 MLB video preview: Joel Sherman and Mike Vaccaro on who to watch, what's changing and how far Yankees and Mets can go in 2022 The Rangerswere the talk of the offseason before the lockout when they made two major splashy signings in bringing in Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to produce maybe the best middle-infield combination in baseball. Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. Three got there in both 2018 and 2017. Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. Add them together with JT Realmuto, Rhys Hoskins and Jean Segura, and this is a deep lineup capable of doing plenty of damage. Weak offense. The model does not expect the Brewers will emerge back on top in 2022. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING . But in this new season, expectations are once again high for them. So does former wunderkind Alex Reyes. Pair that with a strong bullpen and a productive lineup. Bostons bullpen isnt among the best in the American League and its starting rotation lacks quality depth, especially with Chris Sale on IL. Zac Gallen and Luke Weaver look like they could front Arizona's rotation at some point, but for now, those two spots belong to the more experienced Merrill Kelly and Madison Bumgarner. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, well provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors. Get the most up to date picture of the 2022 MLB season standings. Cactus League. Four teams won at least 100 in 2019. 2023 Projected Standings. Even worse, Lance Lynn is now sidelined until June. Trained by Michael McCarthy, Lugan Knight has two wins, one second and . Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. As of now, this is the best team in the AL East. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis. They've got that again in 2022. For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. It also highlights the risk of a starting rotation with so many durability worries. Should-be ace Jack Flaherty has a shoulder injury. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. If Byron Buxton is healthy, he's one of the games' brightest stars, but that continues to remain a big "if.". Ronald Acuna Jr. will be back before too long and joins a lineup that still features Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson and Eddie Rosario. They're expected to have the league's highest payroll in 2023, but it won't be enough. Drew Rasmussen threw 76 innings last year. However, this is still a loaded team. Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. Bringing in Avisail Garcia and Jorge Soler adds some thump to the outfield in an outfield that has been inconsistent in recent years. March 1st, 2023. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. However, the Mets will still be in a prime position to compete and will likely make a big splash in the 2023 postseason. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. But much of the rest of the lineup is unproven. Instead, the model likes the chances ofthe Cardinalsto win the NL Central. The Angels are playoff contenders and the Rangers aren't. . The NL Central hasnt had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. With the exception of a 107-win season from the Giants in 2021, the Dodgers have owned the NL West for the past decade. 1 overall spot in the AL. FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:AL East | AL Central | AL WestNL East | NL Central | NL West. . We also like Clevelands pitching. The defense is terrible. All Rights Reserved. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. After all, the Friars signed Xander Bogaerts, will be getting back Fernando Tatis Jr. from injury/suspension and will benefit from having Juan Soto and Josh Hader for a full season after acquiring both at the 2022 Trade Deadline. MORE:Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat. It bucks conventional wisdom, sure, but there are a few factors I can't ignore. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnaut's MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more.. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. Mega Picker; . The loss of Gray takes away one arm that found success pitching in Colorado, but German Marquez and Antonio Senzatela continued to prove last season that they've figured it out. Fastest MLB pitches in 2022, fastest pitch in college, Best batting average of all time: Top MLB hitters by career average, best BA in 2021. Not only is Chicagos rotation among the best in the AL, its lineup is also outstanding. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold. The Minnesota Twins are an interesting case. Tampa Bay Rays The Sporting News is unveiling a model to project the 2022 MLB season and make predictions based on the results. Here's who they think will rule the ninth inning in 2023. The speedy outfield of Tyler O'Neill, Harrison Bader and Dylan Carlson returns as the best defensive unit in baseball, and they're each expected to improve offensively. Now that the season is over, the parade is done, and the dust has settled it is time to start looking at the 2022 season. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Adam Wainwright was ridiculous down the stretch last season and it's hard to bet against him, but he's also 40 years old. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. The AL playoff picture will likely not come as a surprise. 2022, 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting, 2022 MLB Standings, 2022 MLB Attendance, 2022 MLB Rookies , . The 2022 MLB season is finally here. Way Too Early MLB 2022 National League Standings Predictions. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. MLB playoffs 2023: MLB postseason predictions, World Series and playoffs info, Longest MLB hitting streaks ever: 2022 to baseball history, 5 biggest winners from 2022 MLB offseason, MLB top prospects 2022: Tracking latest stats and potential call-up dates, 3 Chicago White Sox trade targets to replace Lance Lynn, 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, MLB MVP race 2023: Evaluating 2023 AL, NL candidates and MVP history, MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July, What is the fastest pitch ever? I like getting late in the signing process and just going offense by adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to Bryce Harper et al in the lineup, though. 8,128 plate appearances. RHP Max Scherzer inked a super lucrative three-year deal with the New York Mets, paying him an average salary of $43.3 million. . The increase in the number of teams losing on purpose has left a lot more wins for the good teams to grab. KC Kansas City Royals. First off, the Dodgers are the best team. Jonathan India and Tyler Stephenson shined in their rookie seasons, and are expected to continue to improve, and a healthy Nick Senzel could help him live up to his top prospect billing. 4. AL EAST. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. The Records are updated Live on the MLB Standings after each game finishes. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. The Atlanta Braves surprised everyone by winning the World Series. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. Bryan Reynolds was a highlight for the team in 2021 as he earned an All-Star nod, and Ke'Bryan Hayes showed potential to be the next face of the franchise. The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. Are the Blue Jays even with the Yankees, or way behind? Everyone should. The key tothe Giants'success in 2021 was a standout rotation. Carter Kieboom has been hyped for some time, and will finally be given a full opportunity once he returns from his forearm injury. This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . Major League Baseball's 2022 season has arrived. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. Chicago White Sox. But we're making a call to the bullpen and asking five MLB.com writers to give it their best shot. We should also mention the Phillies, who went further than both the Mets and Braves in the 2022 postseason before losing to the Astros in the World Series. Bo Bichette is talented enough to take another step forward and join Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. as an MVP contender.